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Potential Strong Nor'easter Next Week Follows Weekend Snow in the Midwest and South
Potential Strong Nor'easter Next Week Follows Weekend Snow in the Midwest and South
Jan 17, 2024 3:30 PM

At a Glance

A weekend system may bring snow, even ice, as far south as Tennessee and the Carolinas.A nor'easter may bring heavy snow and wind to the Northeast next week.This snow may fall in some areas that have seen little snow this winter.

Winter Storm Stella has been named. For the latest details on this system please.

A strong Northeast snowstorm is increasingly likely next week, following a stripe of weekend snow penetrating into the Southand an initial round of snow from .

(MORE: )

The jet stream is now takinga bit of a southern dive into the Midwest and East.

An initial disturbance in that jet stream will produce the stripe of snow through this weekend in the Midwest and South.

However, a much sharper plunge of the jet by next week should spin up a strong low-pressure center off the East Coast, raising the potential of a nor'easter with heavy snow and wind for parts of the Northeast.

(MORE: )

The Corridor Winter Forgot

For some in the Midwest and East, winter has been exceptionally mild and snowless.

Chicago just experienced its. The last such snow cover at O'Hare International Airport was on Christmas morning.

Along with the Windy City, Indianapolis, Washington D.C.and Baltimore are also at a snowfall deficit of at leastone footthrough March5.

In Baltimore, it's the least snowy winter-to-date since0.4 inches of snow fell through March5, 1950. The last one-inch-plus snowfall at Baltimore-Washington International Airport was roughly one year ago, March3-4, 2016.

(INTERACTIVE: )

Just down Interstate 95, the 1.4 inchesat Washington's Reagan National Airport so far is theleast snowy season-to-date in 19 years, when only 0.1 inches had fallen, and would tie 1972-73 for the least snowy season.

According to an index known as , which calculates the severity of a winter based on snowfall and cold weather days, this has beena record-mild winterin the following cities:

Omaha, NebraskaDes Moines, IowaLouisville, KentuckyLexington, KentuckyCharleston, West VirginiaElkins, West Virginia

Plot of Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index (AWSSI) values on March 6, 2017. Red diamonds indicate locations which were calculated to have a record mild winter-to-date through March 6. Red circles denote a "mild" winter, orange circles a "moderate" winter, yellow circles an "average" winter, and blue circles a "severe" winter.

(Midwest Regional Climate Center)

Southern snowfall in March isn't as unusual as it sounds.

For instance, Nashville, Tennessee, has had a number of significant March snowstorms.

Raleigh-Durham, North Carolina, has had several heavy March snowstorms in their history, as well, but they've only had a single 1-inch-plus March snowfall since 1983, a 3.2-inch event on March 2, 2009.

MORE ON WEATHER.COM: Winter Storm Niko (Early February 2017)

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