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Five Years Ago, the Atlantic Hurricane Season Started in April
Five Years Ago, the Atlantic Hurricane Season Started in April
Jan 17, 2024 3:32 PM

At a Glance

The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs from June through November.But that doesn't mean storms can't form in other months.At least one storm has formed before June 1 each of the past seven hurricane seasons.

The official start of Atlantic hurricane season is still several weeks away, but the past seven seasons have each gotten off to an early start.

Officially, the Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. That time frame was selected to encompass 97% of all Atlantic tropical storms and hurricanes, according to NOAA's Hurricane Research Division.

But it's not 100%.

Named storms and hurricanes per day from 1944 through 2020 in the Atlantic Basin. Arrows indicate the timeframes outside of the standard definition of hurricane season, before June 1 and after November 30.

(NOAA/NHC)

You can see in the graph above that a small number of tropical storms, and even hurricanes, have occurred primarily in May and December.

Some have even occurred in other months.

Five years ago, formed over the central Atlantic Ocean just days after Easter in April 2017, one of .

Satellite view of Arlene on April 20, 2017.

(NASA)

We've jumped the gun on hurricane season a lot, recently.

Each of the past seven hurricane seasons has seen at least one named storm form before June 1.

Last May, formed east of Bermuda.

As you can see in the track map below, not all of these early storms stayed away from land.

Tracks of the nine named storms that have formed before June 1 since the 2015 hurricane season. The black segments of each track indicate when the storm was either a remnant or before it developed into a depression or storm.

(Track data: NOAA/NHC)

In May 2020, the Carolinas were soaked by a pair of tropical storms, and .

In 2018, Tropical Storm Alberto made a Memorial Day landfall along the Florida Panhandle, remained intact and took a strange track into Lower Michigan before losing its tropical characteristics.

Perhaps 2016 was the strangest early start to an Atlantic season in recent memory.

soaked the coast of the Carolinas in late-May 2016. But that was preceded by eastern Atlantic , only the second known January Atlantic hurricane. Alex eventually made landfall in the Azores as a tropical storm.

This early start also happened in 2012 (Alberto, then Beryl in May), 2008 (Arthur), 2007 (another Subtropical Storm Andrea) and 2003 (another Ana, this time in April). Beryl nearly became a hurricane before coming ashore near Jacksonville Beach, Florida, on Memorial Day weekend 2012.

At least one named storm has formed prior to June 1 in 11 of the last 19 years through 2021. There were a total of 14 out-of-season named storms during that time. The majority of these developed and meandered, or made landfall along the coast from North Carolina to northeastern Florida.

Going back further, according to NOAA's historical hurricane tracks database, 37 storms formed in the Atlantic Basin in from 1851 through 2020, a long-term average of one such early storm every four to five years.

Despite this, the National Hurricane Center has not adjusted the start of hurricane season earlier to account for these pre-season storms. However, beginning last year, they began issuing routine Atlantic tropical weather outlooks on May 15, rather than June 1.

There's no guarantee the 2022 season will have an early start, but there are some ingredients that might tilt the odds toward it happening again.

Ocean water is over a broad area of the subtropical Atlantic Ocean near and to the east of the Bahamas and Bermuda, as well as parts of the Gulf of Mexico and western Caribbean Sea.

These are precisely the early-season breeding grounds for named storms as the recent track map above indicated.

(MORE: 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook)

Warm water alone doesn't guarantee a tropical storm. Dry air or shearing winds could be in place to squelch any pre-June 1 development.

However, with , that could reduce these shearing winds that are hostile for tropical development.

Frankly, it's hard to bet against any streak, including seven consecutive early-start hurricane seasons.

If anything, this is a reminder that now is a good time to .

The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, .

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